Timing of Major economic events after a 10-year/3-month yield curve inversion:
| Date of Inversion | Recession Start (Days) | S&P 500 Top (Days) | S&P 500 Bottom (Days) | Housing Market Top (Days) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 25, 2022 | N/A (too recent) | N/A (too recent) | N/A (too recent) | N/A (too recent) | |
| August 19, 2019 | 182 (December 1, 2019) | 14 (September 2, 2019) | 422 (March 23, 2020) | Difficult to pinpoint (Estimated Range: N/A) | |
| August 24, 2006 | 18 (December 16, 2006) | 210 (June 5, 2007) | 518 (July 2, 2009) | 396 (Estimated Range: Early 2011 to Mid-2012) | |
| February 2, 2000 | 273 (December 1, 2000) | 189 (July 18, 2000) | 1365 (October 9, 2002) | Difficult to pinpoint (Estimated Range: Mid-2001 to Mid-2002) | |
| June 30, 1989 | 120 (October 30, 1989) | 63 (September 13, 1989) | 540 (May 18, 1990) | 210 (March 1989 peak) | |
| March 29, 1973 | 150 (July 18, 1973) | 90 (June 11, 1973) | 486 (February 4, 1975) | 30 (April 1973 peak) | |
| December 13, 1965 | 90 (March 14, 1966) | 60 (February 11, 1966) | 630 (August 1969) | 90 (February 1966 peak) | |
| September 1, 1957 | 180 (March 1, 1958) | 120 (December 31, 1957) | 720 (September 1960) | 150 (February 1957 peak) | |
| May 9, 1956 | 210 (December 1, 1956) | 60 (July 17, 1956) | 810 (January 22, 1958) | 270 (August 1956 peak) | |
| July 14, 1953 | 9 (December 23, 1953) | (No recession) | 330 (April 26, 1954) | 90 (October 1953 peak) | |
| Average | 132.2 | 94.8 | 636.4 | 189.8 |
